The Coca-Cola 600 will get underway at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday on FOX, with Kyle Busch as the clear favorite (+250 gambling odds).
Kevin Harvick (+600) and Martin Truex Jr. (+600) are not too far behind in what will be the longest race of this year.
Nick Giffen utilizes his statistical model to disability that the four best futures values from the race.
For the second successive weekend, the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series will be racing at Charlotte Motor Speedwday (6:00 p.m. ET, FOX). However, this time instead of an All-Star shootout, drivers ‘ are in for a grueling 600 miles in the Cup Series’ longest race of this year.
Charlotte is a 1.5-mile oval having a relatively old surface which was repaved back in 2006. We saw from the All-Star race that tires failed to make a difference and that track position was also extremely important, so this race should provide a good mix of numerous 1.5-mile tracks.
The most recent 1.5-mile points-paying race was also a night race in Kansas Speedwday. In that race, the top five in average green-flag rate all showed up at the top nine at 15-lap speed in Happy Hour, regardless of the race being during the nighttime and final practice throughout the day.
We’ve got a similar situation at Charlotte this weekend, so I will certainly rely on long-haul pace in addition to 1.5-mile performance this year and past Charlotte oval performance when handicapping the race.
Equipped with all these data points, let’s get right to my four favorite bets to win tonight’s race, plus bonus top-five and top-10 props.
A quick primer about the chances below: A $100 wager at +375 chances would gain $375, while a $200 wager at -200 chances would cover $100.
Kevin Harvick +600 to Acquire
Kyle Busch is the preferred thanks to his outstanding rate in Happy Hour and three wins to Harvick’s zero wins this season. But, it might be claimed that Harvick ought to be a co-favorite despite completing only 13th on the 10-lap board in closing practice.
That’s because in opening training, he had been much better relative to the rest of the field over 10 consecutive laps. His fifth-place time throughout the cooler temperatures is reassuring. In fact, Harvick’s Crew Chief Rodney Childers said the cars are extremely sensitive to track changes, which they were really good in opening clinic during the warmer temperatures.
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